Market Wrap: ‘Ethereum Killers’ Pop as ING Report Highlights Ethereum Over Bitcoin
The tokens of the Ethereum blockchain’s competitors are making huge gains Thursday, while ether set a new price record above $3,600.
Bitcoin has less than 10% of gold’s market capitalization but could continue to differentiate itself from the yellow metal and grow its piece of the total market-cap pie.
- Ether (ETH) trading around $3,483 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 0.28% over the previous 24 hours.
- Ether’s 24-hour range: $3,397-$3,607 (CoinDesk 20)
- Ethereum Classic (ETC) trading around $148 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 50% over the previous 24 hours.
- Eos (EOS) trading around $12.29 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 48% over the previous 24 hours.
- Cardano (ADA) trading around $1.59 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 9% over the previous 24 hours.
- Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $56,161 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Losing 1.6% over the previous 24 hours.
- Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $56,586-$58,266 (CoinDesk 20)
Big-time gainers Thursday included tokens associated with blockchain projects that aim to replicate some of the key attributes of Ethereum, mainly programmability.
In the past month, ethereum classic (ETC) has gained over 1,250%, while cardano (ADA) has jumped 238% and eos (EOS) is up 42%, according to Kraken spot data provided by charting software TradingView.
The gains come as the giant Dutch bank ING used a recent report to throw some support behind the notion of programmable money used for decentralized finance, or DeFi.
“The recent bull run of ETH has shed some light on competing projects to the Ethereum value proposition, which can be bundled into a category that we can call a ‘sector,” said Elie Le Rest, partner at trading firm ExoAlpha. “The crypto market tends to work on comparable principles, meaning that if a coin of a ‘sector’ has been doing great, such as ETH in the ‘layer 1 sector,’ then other coins of this same sector may follow a similar trend.”
Layer 1 refers to blockchains that can serve as the foundation for various programming languages to create applications, known as smart contracts, that perform financial functions. Ethereum is a layer 1 smart-contract blockchain; ETC, ADA, and EOS are similar.
A Wall Street Journal article published Thursday highlights that retail investors are searching for value coins. Ethereum classic may no longer fit that bill, currently priced around $130, according to CoinDesk 20 data, but cardano priced at around $1.63 and eos at a little over $12 certainly do.
“Interest has flowed out of bitcoin and into [altcoins] for the time being. People are looking further out the risk spectrum for returns,” noted Ciaran Neilan, an executive at crypto market maker GSR.
Bitcoin’s dominance, its share of the greater cryptocurrency market cap, is one sign of a loss of interest for the world’s oldest cryptocurrency. As of press time, BTC dominance, according to chart provider TradingView, was at around 45%, a low not seen since July 2018.
During the last bull market, at the start of 2018, bitcoin’s dominance dumped to an all-time low of 35% as investors redeployed their bitcoin gains into alternative cryptocurrencies.
Early this year, bitcoin dominance went as high as 72%. GSR’s Neilan said that dominance percentage will likely return. “It will end how it usually does,” Neilan said. “BTC consolidates, then takes back the headlines.”
Institutional interest, price of ether higher than ever
Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, hit a fresh high Thursday of $3,607 at around 17:30 UTC (12:30 p.m. ET), according to CoinDesk 20 data. The price has settled on some heavy selling, but still gained 0.28%.
The European Investment Bank (EIB) issuance of a $121 million bond on Ethereum as another sign of institutional support for the ether ecosystem.
“I think ether has benefited from the recent Berlin upgrade,” Jean-Marc Bonnefous, managing partner at investment firm Tellurian Capital. “For once we have a new all-time high and lots of DeFi activity without a simultaneous explosion of gas [transaction] fees.” The EIB bond issuance could be another sign of institutional support for the ether ecosystem, he said.
In the ether derivatives market, ETH futures are now at $10 billion – an all-time high. More sophisticated investors are entering the market and requiring more complex instruments. In the past month, open interest in ether futures has climbed by 47% across major venues.
“I think we’re just getting started,” Stefan Coolican, chief financial officer for investment firm Ether Capital, told CoinDesk. “The addressable market for ETH is almost infinitely larger than bitcoin.”
Read More: Ether Traders Load Up on $8K Call Options in Bet Price Will Double by July
Bitcoin-gold correlation dumping
The price of bitcoin was down Thursday, going as low as $56,586 around 08:15 UTC (3:15 a.m. ET).
The trading range was even tighter than the day before. Thursday’s $56,586-$58,266 spot price variance was narrower than Wednesday’s $53,633-$57,356 range. BTC is below the 10-hour moving average and the 50-hour on the hourly chart, a bearish signal for market technicians.
“We’re seeing BTC almost completely flat while ETH has pumped,” noted Andrew Tu, an executive at quant trading firm Efficient Frontier.
“I don’t think this is the last we’ve heard from bitcoin, perhaps just a breather on its march to gold’s market cap,” Coolican said. Bitcoin’s current market capitalization is over $1 trillion, according to CoinGecko, versus gold’s more than $11 trillion.
The correlation between the two assets, according to data aggregator Coin Metrics, is near zero, which means their prices are no longer moving in sync as they were for most of last year. In October, the metric passed 0.6. A 1 would signify perfect synchronicity.
Mostafa Al-Mashita, vice president for trading at quant firm Efficient Frontier, says he’s ready for the return of BTC action.
“Another leg up for bitcoin is not expected anymore, which is why it’ll likely happen,” Al-Mashita told CoinDesk.
Read More: Bitcoin Options Traders Leaning Bearish Despite Price Recovery
Other markets
Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mostly higher Thursday. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
Notable losers:
Equities:
- The Nikkei 225 index jumped 1.8% as traders were eager to buy after Japanese markets were closed the first three days of the week.
- In Europe, the FTSE 100 was up 0.52% as the Bank of England announced Thursday it would keep interest rates unchanged.
- The U.S. S&P 500 index gained 0.80% as investors were bullish ahead of April's employment numbers report Friday.
Commodities:
- Oil was down 0.61%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $64.84.
- Gold was in the green 1.6% and at $1,815 as of press time.
- Silver is gaining, up 3.2% and changing hands at $27.32.
Read More: VanEck Launches ‘First of Its Kind’ Digital Assets ETF in Europe
Treasurys:
- The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield fell Thursday to 1.570 and in the red 0.11%.
