Market Wrap: As Traditional Markets Rally, Bitcoin Gets Boring

candlechart
1 July 2020

Bitcoin broke above $9,250 for the first time since Friday as the leading cryptocurrency continues to trade in a tight range just above $9,000 for several weeks. But cryptocurrency markets have stayed quiet as traders expect a big move. Bitcoin was trading hands around $9,250 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). 

  • Bitcoin at $9,250 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), up 1.2% over 24 hours
  • BTC trading range (past 24 hours): $9,000-$9,300
  • Ether up 3% in trading, at around $232
  • Bitcoin 30-day volatility continues to drop
  • Decentralized exchange volume grows 70% in June

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, gained 3%, trading around $232 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), according to Bitstamp.

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Bitcoin trading volume since June 24
Source: TradingView

Despite trading above $9,250, bitcoin is still stuck within a tight range of a few hundred dollars above $9,000. As a result, 30-day volatility continues to decline. In fact, bitcoin’s volatility reached its lowest mark since Feb. 23, according to Coin Metrics.

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Bitcoin 30-day volatility
Source: Coin Metrics

As bitcoin stagnates, traditional markets soar. Tesla made an all-time high Wednesday, climbing $1,134, up more than 6% from its daily open. Zoom also bounced back toward its all-time high of $262 after dropping Friday through Monday, up 3.6% from its Wednesday open. 

Why is bitcoin so quiet? There are simply “more eyeballs away from the crypto market and more towards traditional financial markets,” said Eliézer Ndinga, research associate at digital asset manager 21Shares. Many retail traders are using the popular retail equities trading platform Robinhood to speculate as traditional markets rally amid the on-going coronavirus pandemic. 

“Despite various efforts to boost institutional adoption, retail traders account for 96% of all exchanges’ transfers,” Ndinga added. For many of these traders, the stock market may be more interesting than cryptocurrency markets. 

Despite retail investors’ temporarily waning interest, institutional investors continue to develop the cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure. New York Digital Investments Group (NYDIG) raised $190 million from 24 investors for a new bitcoin fund, CoinDesk reported Wednesday. The New York-based asset manager, which has held a New York BitLicense since 2018, raised $140 million in May for a similar investment vehicle, the Bitcoin Yield Enhancement Fund. 

Meanwhile, loyal cryptocurrency traders are increasingly keen to use decentralized exchanges. In June, aggregate volumes for these platforms grew 70% to a record high of over $1.5 billion.

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Aggregate decentralized exchange monthly trading volume
Source: Dune Analytics, CoinDesk Research

This rapid growth carries some security concerns, however. Decentralized finance analyst Jack Purdy told CoinDesk the spike in trading volumes on these nascent platforms is “starting to become a bit worrisome” due to the fact that a variety of complex attack vectors still exist. 

Other markets

  • S&P 500 up 0.6% trading at $3,123
  • FTSE 100 down 0.1% after recovering from a 1.7% afternoon dip
  • Nikkei 225 down 1.25%
  • Gold down 0.7% trading at $1,770

Stablecoin markets showed strength as USDC’s total circulating supply passed 1 billion tokens. Tether, the largest stablecoin, grew to $10.3 billion, according to data from Messari

Exchange tokens were mostly up Tuesday as the entire sector gained 2.4%, according to Messari. Some of the biggest gainers were kyber network (KNC) up 11.4% and binance coin (BNB) up 2.5%. All price changes were as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).