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- Bitcoin needs to see a sustained move above $8,750 to confirm an end of the price pullback from Sunday's high near $9,200.
- A strong move past that level will likely fuel a re-test of $9,200. That looks likely, with the longer duration charts flashing bullish signals.
- A break below key support near $8,460 would open the door for a drop back to $8,200-$8,000.
Bitcoin’s bounce from key price support is struggling to gather traction.
The top cryptocurrency by market value made a reversal from levels near $8,461 (Sunday’s low) during Tuesday’s U.S. trading hours, rising to a high of $8,793 earlier today, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index.
The bulls have defended the $8,460 level multiple times since late on Sunday. Tuesday’s bounce was the third successful defense of the former resistance-turned-support of the last 72 hours (bitcoin had dropped back at the same level on Jan. 8).
This morning’s spike to $8,793 in the Asian trading hours was short-lived, and the cryptocurrency is currently trading near $8,630. Similar price action has been seen in the last 48 hours.
Essentially, bitcoin is generally trapped in the $8,460-$8,750 trading range and only a sustained break above $8,750 would imply bull revival.
Hourly chart
The range-bound trading is taking place following a convincing downside breach of the ascending trendline over the weekend.
An hourly close below $8,461
would confirm range breakdown and signal a continuation of the pullback from
$9,188, opening the door to support at $8,200 (horizontal line) and possibly to
$8,000.
On the other hand, an hourly close above $8,750 would confirm an end of the pullback and could fuel a rise to recent highs near $9,200.
An upwards move looks the more likely path ahead, as the longer duration charts are reporting bullish conditions.
Daily and 4-hour charts
Bitcoin created a bullish outside-day candle on Tuesday, which occurs when prices close the day on a positive note, engulfing preceding day’s trading range. The candle is widely considered as an early warning of an impending bullish move.
Further, the higher lows on the 4-hour chart’s MACD are signaling a weakening of bearish momentum.
The weekly chart, too, is indicating the path of least resistance is to the higher side.
Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.